Question 1

Paper 1Hard6 marks

A field team measures the nitrate concentration in water samples from a catchment. The eight samples are selected independently at random. Assume that the population of nitrate concentrations is normally distributed, with known standard deviation 1.2 mg L−11.2\text{ mg L}^{-1}

Figure 1 shows the measured concentrations. The team will test whether the population mean concentration exceeds 5.0 mg L−15.0\text{ mg L}^{-1} using

H0:μ=5.0,H1:μ>5.0,H_0:\mu=5.0,\qquad H_1:\mu>5.0,

where μ\mu is measured in mg L−1\text{mg L}^{-1}

012345678944.555.566.57Sample numberNitrate concentration (mg L⁻¹)4.14.75.25.45.86.16.36.8
(a)

Use Figure 1 to determine the sample mean concentration.

[1]
(b)

Using your answer to part (a), carry out the stated test at the 5% significance level. State your conclusion in context.

[2]
(c)

Suppose that the true population mean concentration is 5.8 mg L−15.8\text{ mg L}^{-1} Determine the probability of a Type II error for the test in part (b). Give your answer to three significant figures.

[3]

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