Question 1

Paper 2Medium7 marks

In a reserve, the prey and predator populations are represented by indices xx and yy measured in hundreds of animals. The time tt is measured in years after monitoring begins. The populations are modelled by

dxdt=0.8x−0.04xy,dydt=0.02xy−0.6y,\frac{\mathrm{d}x}{\mathrm{d}t}=0.8x-0.04xy, \qquad \frac{\mathrm{d}y}{\mathrm{d}t}=0.02xy-0.6y,

with x(0)=20x(0)=20 and y(0)=5y(0)=5 A researcher uses Euler’s method with a step size of 0.50.5 years.

(a)

Show that the Euler estimate for x(0.5)x(0.5) is 2626 and find the corresponding estimate for y(0.5)y(0.5)

[3]
(b)

Hence, use one further Euler step to estimate x(1)x(1) and y(1)y(1)

[2]
(c)

A researcher claims that the predator population is decreasing at t=1t=1 since the estimate for y(1)y(1) is lower than that for y(0.5)y(0.5) Use the model to assess this claim.

[2]

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